Difference between revisions of "TD10 (2145)"

From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
Jump to: navigation, search
 
(19 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
{| class="infobox" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="background:transparent;text-align:center; font-size:95%; width:12.6em; float:right;"
+
{{Storm active2|name=Extra-tropical Storm Griel
|+ colspan="7" nowrap="nowrap"| <small>Current warnings and watches</small>
+
|category=storm|type=Extratropical storm
|-
+
|local time=1200
|http://img75.imageshack.us/img75/467/watchwarnnstd4510lk9.png
+
|date=June 15
|}
+
{{Storm active2|name=Hurricane Griel
+
|category=cat4|type=Category 4 major hurricane
+
|local time=0200
+
|date=June 12
+
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 13.9&deg;S 5.2&deg;E]<br/>About 2130 km (1330 miles) east of [[Puerto Nuevo]], [[Vassfforcia]]
+
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 12.0&deg;S 4.0°W]<br/>About 450 km (280 miles) south-southeast of [[Vassfforcia la Serenísima]], [[Vassfforcia]]
|winds=220 km/h (140 mph)
+
|winds=100 km/h (65 mph)
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
|pressure=944 hPa
+
|pressure=970 hPa
|movement=West at 24 km/h (15 mph)
+
|movement=NNW at 81 km/h (50 mph)
|advisory=latest}}
+
|advisory=final}}
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
<div style="clear: both"></div>
 
----
 
----
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
 
  4510 TCWC HPCOR
  HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 010...CORRECTED
+
  TROPICAL STORM GRIEL (4510) FINAL ADVISORY 020
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
 
  MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
  1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 2 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 12 2145
+
  1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 12 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145
CORRECTED TO ADD ADDITIONAL TC WARNINGS
+
 
   
 
   
  GRIEL CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...
+
  GRIEL BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... ALL REMAINING WARNINGS AND
 +
WATCHES DISCONTINUED.
 
   
 
   
  AT 3 AM HPT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM PRUBDABLIA
+
  AT 3 PM HPT... THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE GRIEL
  SOUTHWARD FOR 385 KM... AND FOR THE CAPE OF IBPORTIA. TROPICAL
+
WERE CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 SOUTH LONGITUDE 4.0 WEST... OR ABOUT
  STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CIUDAD ESTADO DE PUERTO NUEVO
+
  450 KM... 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VASSFFORCIA CITY, VASSFFORCIA.
  AND THE ADJACENT COAST. HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR
+
  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IS 970 HPA...
  CIUDAD ESTADO DE PUERTO NUEVO AND THE ADJACENT COAST.
+
  AND IT HAS SUSTAINED GALES OF UP TO 110 KM/H... 65 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS
 +
  MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H... 50 MPH.
 
   
 
   
  AT 3 AM HPT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH-
+
  34-KNOT... OR STORM-FORCE... WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 350 KM...
  WESTERN COAST OF VENERATIO VEN-01. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND
+
  220 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES...
  HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
+
  100 MM... ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA. CITIES AND TOWNS
  WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF VEN-01.
+
  NEAR RIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.
 
   
 
   
  AT 3 AM HPT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH-
+
  GRIEL SHOULD BECOME ABSORBED BY THE LARGER FRONT PUSHING IN FROM THE
WESTERN CAPE OF ANIMUS ANI-01 IN THE SANXAY STRAIT.
+
  SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT.
+
AT 3 AM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.9 SOUTH
+
LATITUDE 5.2 EAST... OR ABOUT 2130 KM... 1330 MILES EAST OF PUERTO
+
NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
+
220 KM/H... 140 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A DANGEROUS
+
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE
+
SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H OR 15 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
+
IS 944 HPA/MBAR.
+
+
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 340 KM...
+
215 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST AND NORTH...
+
WHILE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 KM...
+
90 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE.
+
+
HURRICANE ADVISORY/ALERTS ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE UNV SERVICIO
+
METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL... PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL BULLETINS FOR MORE
+
INFORMATION... INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS OR
+
  EVACUATION ORDERS.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
 
  OFFICIAL FORECAST
  INITIAL TIME IS 13/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT
+
  INITIAL TIME IS 15/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT
   INITIAL... 13.9 S 05.2 E...120 KT... CAT 4
+
   INITIAL... 12.0 S 4.0 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
13/0900H... 13.8 S 04.6 E...125 KT
+
  15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
13/1500H... 13.8 S 03.9 E...130 KT <!-- 13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...135 KT -->
+
14/0300H... 13.8 S 02.8 E...140 KT... CAT 5 <!-- 14/0900H... 13.8 S 02.3 E...145 KT -->
+
14/1500H... 13.8 S 01.8 E...150 KT... CAT 5 <!-- 14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.4 E...155 KT... CAT 5 -->
+
15/0300H... 13.9 S 01.0 E...145 KT <!-- 15/0900H... 13.9 S 00.4 E...135 KT 15/1500H... 13.9 S 00.3 W...120 KT  15/2100H... 13.9 S 00.8 W...105 KT -->
+
16/0300H... 13.8 S 01.4 W...105 KT... CAT 3 <!-- 16/0900H... 13.7 S 02.0 W... 95 KT  16/1500H... 13.6 S 02.5 W... 75 KT...VERY CLOSE TO LAND  16/2100H... 13.0 S 03.5 W... 50 KT... INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL -->
+
  17/0300H... 11.0 S 05.2 W... 25 KT... EXTRATROPICAL/DISSIPATING INLAND
+
+
REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 13.9 SOUTH 5.2 EAST. MAXIMUM
+
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 220 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
+
PRESSURE 944 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H.
+
+
THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT...
+
FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 12 PM HPT.
+
+
FORECASTER LAVAL
+
----
+
ITGV1 TCWC HPCOR
+
INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE REGARDING HURRICANE GRIEL (4510)
+
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
+
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
+
+
INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE...
+
FOR THE GOVERNMENTS OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND... AND VASSFFORCIA... AS WELL
+
AS OTHER HEARTLAND GOVERNMENTS CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF
+
HURRICANE GRIEL...
+
+
HURRICANE GRIEL'S CURRENT PATH TAKES IT WEST AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL
+
NEAR CIUDAD ESTADIO/PUERTO NUEVO... LIKELY AS A CATEGORY TWO OR THREE
+
HURRICANE. THE MSHPC URGES THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN...
+
INCLUDING POSSIBLE EVACUATIONS.
+
+
THE INLAND TRACK OF GRIEL IS SOMEWHAT COMPLICATED AS IT STARTS TO
+
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL INLAND. IT IS NOT CLEAR IF GRIEL WILL DISSIPATE
+
ALMOST IMMEDIATELY... BUT IT IS LIKELY TO TURN SHARPLY TO THE NORTH-
+
NORTHWEST AND SPEED UP A LOT WHEN EXTRATROPICAL... POSSIBLY AFFECTING
+
THE CITY OF VASSFFORCIA... VASSFFORCIA LA SERENÍSIMA. HEAVY RAINS
+
ARE TO BE EXPECTED... BOTH INLAND AND ALONG THE COAST.
+
 
   
 
   
  STORM SURGES OF UP TO 15 FEET SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR... ALTHOUGH IT
+
  REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 12.0 SOUTH 4.0 WEST. MAXIMUM
  IS MORE LIKELY THAT A STORM SURGE OF ABOUT 7 FT WILL OCCUR IN CIUDAD
+
  SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HPA.
  ESTADO/PUERTO NUEVO.
+
  SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  THE GOVERNMENT OF VASSFFORCIA IS URGED TO URGE RESIDENTS TO START
+
  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR FURTHER
  STOCKING UP ON FOOD AND NECCESSITIES... AND PREPARE TO EVACUATE.
+
  INFORMATION ON THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM AND THE NEW WEATHER FRONT
  THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY MAKE LANDFALL IN ABOUT THREE DAYS.
+
PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL INFORMATION OR THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE'S
 +
  BULLETINS.
 
   
 
   
  ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
+
  FORECASTER HUNTER
DIRECTOR MIKE JOHNS
+
JUNE 13, 2145
+

Latest revision as of 07:01, 20 October 2006

Latest storm information
Extra-tropical Storm Griel
Extratropical storm
As of: 1200 local time June 15, 2145
Location: 12.0°S 4.0°W
About 450 km (280 miles) south-southeast of Vassfforcia la Serenísima, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds:
100 km/h (65 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 970 hPa
Movement: NNW at 81 km/h (50 mph)
See final advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4510 TCWC HPCOR
TROPICAL STORM GRIEL (4510) FINAL ADVISORY 020
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 12 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 15 2145

GRIEL BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL... ALL REMAINING WARNINGS AND
WATCHES DISCONTINUED.

AT 3 PM HPT... THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF FORMER HURRICANE GRIEL
WERE CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 SOUTH LONGITUDE 4.0 WEST... OR ABOUT
450 KM... 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VASSFFORCIA CITY, VASSFFORCIA.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IS 970 HPA...
AND IT HAS SUSTAINED GALES OF UP TO 110 KM/H... 65 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H... 50 MPH.

34-KNOT... OR STORM-FORCE... WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 350 KM... 
220 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES...
100 MM... ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER INLAND VASSFFORCIA. CITIES AND TOWNS
NEAR RIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED IN CASE OF RIVERS FLOODING ITS BANKS.

GRIEL SHOULD BECOME ABSORBED BY THE LARGER FRONT PUSHING IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BY TONIGHT.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 15/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 12.0 S 4.0 W... 55 KT...INLAND/BECOMING ABSORBED
15/2100H...ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM

REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 12.0 SOUTH 4.0 WEST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HPA.
SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 81 KM/H.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM AND THE NEW WEATHER FRONT
PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL INFORMATION OR THE HEARTLAND WEATHER SERVICE'S
BULLETINS.

FORECASTER HUNTER