TD10 (2145)
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| Tropical Storm Griel | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 1500 local time June 11, 2145 |
| Location: | 13.8°S 8.7°E About 3160 km (1975 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia |
| Maximum winds: |
100 km/h (65 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 990 hPa |
| Movement: | West at 33 km/h (21 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4510 TCWC HPCLC TROPICAL STORM GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 004 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU 1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT/LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 GRIEL STRENGTHENS IN 29 DEG C WARM WATERS... INITIAL INTENSITY NOTCHED UPWARDS TO 55 KNOTS. THE COMPUTER MODELS HAVE FAILED THE FORECASTERS... AND THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON WHAT LITTLE EXPERTISE WE HAVE IN FORECASTING STORMS FOR THIS AREA OF THE REGION. ACCORDINGLY... THE FORECAST INTENSITY IS ONCE AGAIN RAISED TO MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH... CATEGORY THREE WITHIN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALSO HAS GRIEL MAKING LANDFALL NEAR PUERTO NUEVO AS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE JUST AFTER 96 HOURS. AT 3 PM HPT TROPICAL STORM GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.8 SOUTH LATITUDE 8.7 EAST... OR ABOUT 3160 KM... 1975 MILES EAST OF PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 KM/H... 65 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MOVING WEST AT 33 KM/H OR 21 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA/MBAR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPEECTED TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST 36-48 HOURS. THE SERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL OF VASSFFORCIA HAS ISSUED TROPICAL STORM ADVISORIES FOR THE REGIONS OF PUERTO NUEVO... VILLE DE FOGRES... PAYS DU GÜENDABAL AS WELL AS THE AREAS SURROUNDING THE RIVER ZULFÍA. EVACUATION ORDERS MAY SOON BE ISSUED BY THE VASSFFORCIAN AUTHORITIES... PLEASE CONSULT LOCAL OFFICIALS. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 11/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 13.8 S 08.7 E... 55 KT 11/2100H... 13.8 S 08.0 E... 65 KT... CAT 1 12/0300H... 13.8 S 07.4 E... 75 KT 12/1500H... 13.9 S 06.2 E... 85 KT... CAT 2 13/0300H... 13.9 S 05.2 E... 95 KT 13/1500H... 13.8 S 03.9 E...105 KT... CAT 3 14/1500H... 13.8 S 02.2 E...110 KT 15/1500H... 13.9 S 00.3 W...105 KT WE DO NOT EXPECT THE NEED FOR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FOR ANOTHER 48 HOURS OR SO. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 KM... 60 MILES FROM THE CENTRE. THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT. FORECASTER LAVAL
