TD10 (2145)

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Latest storm information
Hurricane Griel
Category 1 hurricane
As of: 2100 local time June 11, 2145
Location: 13.8°S 8.0°E
About 3000 km (1875 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds:
120 km/h (75 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 984 hPa
Movement: West at 27 km/h (17 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4510 TCWC HPCLC
HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 005
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC LUNAR CITY, KOMPA RU SATELLITE BUREAU
7 PM PAX... 9 PM HPT/LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145

GRIEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
FOR ONCE... THE MSHPC IS RIGHT ON WITH FORECASTING THIS STORM...

GRIEL IS NOW A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE. THE VALUE OF 65 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY WAS REACHED BASED ON CONSENSUS T-NUMBERS OF 4.0 FROM BOTH
HDCW AND UHWF.

AT 9 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.8 SOUTH
LATITUDE 8.0 EAST... OR ABOUT 3000 KM... 1875 MILES EAST OF PUERTO
NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 KM/H... 75 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 27 KM/H OR 17
MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 HPA/MBAR. THIS GENERAL WESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

THE SERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL OF VASSFFORCIA HAS ISSUED TROPICAL
STORM ADVISORIES FOR THE REGIONS OF PUERTO NUEVO... VILLE DE FOGRES...
PAYS DU GÜENDABAL AS WELL AS THE AREAS SURROUNDING THE RIVER ZULFÍA.
EVACUATION ORDERS MAY SOON BE ISSUED BY THE VASSFFORCIAN AUTHORITIES...
PLEASE CONSULT LOCAL OFFICIALS. 

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 KM... 100
MILES FROM THE CENTRE... AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 45 KM... 30 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. ON THIS FORECAST
TRACK... WHICH IS SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF MODEL CONSENSUS... TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES MAY SOON BE NEEDED FOR VASSFFORCIA.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 11/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 13.8 S 08.0 E... 65 KT... CAT 1
12/0300H... 13.8 S 07.4 E... 75 KT 
12/0900H... 13.9 S 06.9 E... 80 KT 
12/2100H... 13.9 S 05.7 E... 90 KT... CAT 2 
13/0900H... 13.8 S 04.6 E...100 KT... CAT 3 
13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...105 KT 
14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.5 E...115 KT... CAT 4 
15/2100H... 13.9 S 00.8 W...105 KT

THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 AM HPT.

FORECASTER RINDLI