TD10 (2145)

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Current warnings and watches
watchwarnnstd4510lk9.png
Latest storm information
Hurricane Griel
Category 4 major hurricane
As of: 0200 local time June 12, 2145
Location: 13.9°S 5.2°E
About 2130 km (1330 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia
Maximum
winds:
220 km/h (140 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 944 hPa
Movement: West at 24 km/h (15 mph)
See latest advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4510 TCWC HPCOR
HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 010...CORRECTED
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN
1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 2 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 12 2145
CORRECTED TO ADD ADDITIONAL TC WARNINGS

GRIEL CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 3 AM HPT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM PRUBDABLIA
SOUTHWARD FOR 385 KM... AND FOR THE CAPE OF IBPORTIA. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CIUDAD ESTADO DE PUERTO NUEVO
AND THE ADJACENT COAST. HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR
CIUDAD ESTADO DE PUERTO NUEVO AND THE ADJACENT COAST.

AT 3 AM HPT TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH-
WESTERN COAST OF VENERATIO VEN-01. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND
HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF VEN-01.

AT 3 AM HPT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH-
WESTERN CAPE OF ANIMUS ANI-01 IN THE SANXAY STRAIT.

AT 3 AM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LONGITUDE 13.9 SOUTH
LATITUDE 5.2 EAST... OR ABOUT 2130 KM... 1330 MILES EAST OF PUERTO
NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
220 KM/H... 140 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H OR 15 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 944 HPA/MBAR. 

TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 340 KM...
215 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST AND NORTH... 
WHILE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 KM...
90 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE.

HURRICANE ADVISORY/ALERTS ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE UNV SERVICIO
METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL... PLEASE REFER TO LOCAL BULLETINS FOR MORE
INFORMATION... INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS OR
EVACUATION ORDERS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST
INITIAL TIME IS 13/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT
 INITIAL... 13.9 S 05.2 E...120 KT... CAT 4
13/0900H... 13.8 S 04.6 E...125 KT 
13/1500H... 13.8 S 03.9 E...130 KT 
14/0300H... 13.8 S 02.8 E...140 KT... CAT 5 
14/1500H... 13.8 S 01.8 E...150 KT... CAT 5 
15/0300H... 13.9 S 01.0 E...145 KT 
16/0300H... 13.8 S 01.4 W...105 KT... CAT 3 
17/0300H... 11.0 S 05.2 W... 25 KT... EXTRATROPICAL/DISSIPATING INLAND

REPEATING THE 3 AM HPT POSITION... 13.9 SOUTH 5.2 EAST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 220 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 944 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 24 KM/H.

THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT...
FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 12 PM HPT.

FORECASTER LAVAL

ITGV1 TCWC HPCOR
INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE REGARDING HURRICANE GRIEL (4510)
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN

INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE...
FOR THE GOVERNMENTS OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND... AND VASSFFORCIA... AS WELL
AS OTHER HEARTLAND GOVERNMENTS CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF
HURRICANE GRIEL...

HURRICANE GRIEL'S CURRENT PATH TAKES IT WEST AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL
NEAR CIUDAD ESTADIO/PUERTO NUEVO... LIKELY AS A CATEGORY TWO OR THREE
HURRICANE. THE MSHPC URGES THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN...
INCLUDING POSSIBLE EVACUATIONS.

THE INLAND TRACK OF GRIEL IS SOMEWHAT COMPLICATED AS IT STARTS TO
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL INLAND. IT IS NOT CLEAR IF GRIEL WILL DISSIPATE
ALMOST IMMEDIATELY... BUT IT IS LIKELY TO TURN SHARPLY TO THE NORTH-
NORTHWEST AND SPEED UP A LOT WHEN EXTRATROPICAL... POSSIBLY AFFECTING
THE CITY OF VASSFFORCIA... VASSFFORCIA LA SERENÍSIMA. HEAVY RAINS
ARE TO BE EXPECTED... BOTH INLAND AND ALONG THE COAST.

STORM SURGES OF UP TO 15 FEET SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR... ALTHOUGH IT
IS MORE LIKELY THAT A STORM SURGE OF ABOUT 7 FT WILL OCCUR IN CIUDAD
ESTADO/PUERTO NUEVO.

THE GOVERNMENT OF VASSFFORCIA IS URGED TO URGE RESIDENTS TO START
STOCKING UP ON FOOD AND NECCESSITIES... AND PREPARE TO EVACUATE.
THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY MAKE LANDFALL IN ABOUT THREE DAYS.

ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
DIRECTOR MIKE JOHNS
JUNE 13, 2145