TD10 (2145)
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| Hurricane Griel | |
|---|---|
| Category 4 major hurricane | |
| As of: | 1400 local time June 13, 2145 |
| Location: | 13.8°S 3.9°E About 1870 km (1170 miles) east of Puerto Nuevo, Vassfforcia |
| Maximum winds: |
240 km/h (150 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 928 hPa |
| Movement: | West at 22 km/h (14 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4510 TCWC HPCOR HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) ADVISORY 012 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 2 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 13 2145 GRIEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... NOW A VERY DANGEROUS HIGH-END CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... NEW RECORD MINIMUM PRESSURE IN THE REGION... AT 3 PM HPT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR ANIMUS ANI-01 HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 3 PM HPT THE HURRICANE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN SOUTHWEST COAST OF VENERATIO VEN-01 HAVE BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS... WHILE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE WATCHES FOR THE REST OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS. AT 3 PM HPT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FROM PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PRUBDABLIA SOUTHWARD TO THE CAPE OF MONTAURA... WHILE A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE SAME STRETCH OF COASTLINE. AT 3 PM HPT A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF VASSFFORCIA NEAR THE CAPE OF IBPORTIA... TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND HURRICANE WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CAPE OF IBPORTIA. AT 3 PM HPT THE GOVERNMENT OF VASSFFORCIA HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR CIUDAD ESTADO DE PUERTO NUEVO AND THE ADJACENT COASTLINE TO A HURRICANE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MEAN THAT TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE SPED UP. HURRICANE WATCHES MEAN THAT HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE WARNINGS MEAN THAT HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. ALL PREPARATIONS TO LIMIT DAMAGE AND LOSS OF LIFE SHOULD BE COMPLETE. AT 3 PM HPT HURRICANE GRIEL WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 SOUTH LONGITUDE 3.9 EAST... OR ABOUT 1870 KM... 1170 MILES EAST OF PUERTO NUEVO VASSFFORCIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 240 KM/H... 150 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRIEL IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE... AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING INTO A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 22 KM/H OR 14 MPH... MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 928 HPA/MBAR. AN AIR FORCE (AFLE) RECONNAISANCE AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM. DETAILS WILL BE KNOWN BY THE 3 AM ADVISORY. GRIEL IS A LARGE SYSTEM... TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 520 KM... 325 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE... MAINLY TO THE WEST AND NORTH... WHILE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS CURRENTLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 330 KM... 205 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... THE CAPES OF IBPORTIA AND MONTAURA MAY FEEL TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 13/1500H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 13.8 S 03.9 E...130 KT... CAT 4 13/2100H... 13.8 S 03.4 E...135 KT 14/0300H... 13.8 S 02.8 E...140 KT... CAT 5 14/1500H... 13.8 S 01.8 E...150 KT <1-- 14/2100H... 13.9 S 01.4 E...155 KT --> 15/0300H... 13.9 S 01.0 E...145 KT 15/1500H... 13.9 S 00.3 W...120 KT... CAT 4 16/1500H... 13.6 S 02.5 W... 85 KT... CAT 2 NEAR LANDFALL 17/1500H...DISSIPATED OVER WATER NORTH OF VASSFORCIA LA SERENÍSIMA REPEATING THE 3 PM HPT POSITION... 13.8 SOUTH 3.9 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 240 KM/H... HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 928 HPA... MOVING WEST AT 22 KM/H. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
ITGV1 TCWC HPCOR INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE REGARDING HURRICANE GRIEL (4510) LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN INTERGOVERNMENTAL MESSAGE... FOR THE GOVERNMENTS OF LIVERPOOL ENGLAND... AND VASSFFORCIA... AS WELL AS OTHER HEARTLAND GOVERNMENTS CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF HURRICANE GRIEL... POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE GRIEL IS SPINNING TOWARDS VASSFFORCIA... ENSURE FULL EVACUATION OF LOW-LYING AREAS. AREAS AT AN ALTITUDE OF BELOW SEA LEVEL WILL FACE MAJOR FLOODING PROBLEMS CAUSED BY STORM SURGE. GRIEL WILL LIKELY MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... WEAKENING FROM ITS CURRENT STRENGTH. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY SOON BE NEEDED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MONTAURA. ISSUED BY LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE DIRECTOR MIKE JOHNS JUNE 13, 2145
