Difference between revisions of "TD11 (2145)"
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| − | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical | + | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Nitschke |
| − | |category= | + | |category=storm|type=Tropical storm |
| − | |local time= | + | |local time=0400 |
| − | |date=June | + | |date=June 11 |
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
| − | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png | + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 37.3°N 23.9°E]<br/>About 550 km (345 miles) southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom |
| − | |winds= | + | |winds=75 km/h (45 mph) |
|windtype=1-minute sustained | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
| − | |pressure= | + | |pressure=1002 hPa |
| − | |movement= | + | |movement=Northeast at 26 km/h (16 mph) |
| − | |advisory= | + | |advisory=latest}} |
---- | ---- | ||
4511 TCWC HPCOR | 4511 TCWC HPCOR | ||
| − | TROPICAL | + | TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 002 |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND | MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND | ||
| − | + | 1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 | |
| − | + | RECON FLIGHT REPORTED 37 KT SUSTAINED WINDS. RECENTLY-UPPED T-NUMBERS OF | |
| − | ... | + | 2.5 FROM BOTH HDCW AND UHWF... PLUS GENERAL APPEARANCE OF SYSTEM... INITIAL |
| − | + | ADVISORY IS UPPED AND SET... PERHAPS A BIT STRONGLY... AT 40 KT. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | MOST COMPUTER MODELS STILL TAKE NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. ALL SEVEN OF THEM | |
| − | + | ALSO MAKE IT EXTRATROPICAL AND FOUR SUGGEST IT BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE | |
| − | + | FUTURE... THE QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY | |
| − | IS | + | TENTATIVE... BUT WILL ASSUME EXTRATROPICALITY AT THE EARLIEST SUGGESTED |
| + | BY THE AFLE... 24 HOURS. | ||
| − | AT | + | AT 3 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.3N 23.9E... |
| − | OR ABOUT | + | OR ABOUT 550 KM... 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED |
| − | WINDS ARE | + | WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL |
| − | PRESSURE IS | + | PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 26 KM/H. |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... | OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... | ||
1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H | 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H | ||
| − | INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS | + | INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT |
| − | INITIAL | + | INITIAL... 37.3 N 23.9 E... 40 KT |
| − | + | ||
11/0900H... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT | 11/0900H... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT | ||
| − | 11/ | + | 11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL |
| − | + | 12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL | |
| − | 12/ | + | 12/1500H... 37.2 N 24.4 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED |
| − | + | 12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT | + | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT. |
FORECASTER HUNTER | FORECASTER HUNTER | ||
Revision as of 02:08, 7 September 2006
| Tropical Storm Nitschke | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 0400 local time June 11, 2145 |
| Location: | 37.3°N 23.9°E About 550 km (345 miles) southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom |
| Maximum winds: |
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1002 hPa |
| Movement: | Northeast at 26 km/h (16 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4511 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND 1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 RECON FLIGHT REPORTED 37 KT SUSTAINED WINDS. RECENTLY-UPPED T-NUMBERS OF 2.5 FROM BOTH HDCW AND UHWF... PLUS GENERAL APPEARANCE OF SYSTEM... INITIAL ADVISORY IS UPPED AND SET... PERHAPS A BIT STRONGLY... AT 40 KT. MOST COMPUTER MODELS STILL TAKE NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. ALL SEVEN OF THEM ALSO MAKE IT EXTRATROPICAL AND FOUR SUGGEST IT BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE FUTURE... THE QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY TENTATIVE... BUT WILL ASSUME EXTRATROPICALITY AT THE EARLIEST SUGGESTED BY THE AFLE... 24 HOURS. AT 3 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.3N 23.9E... OR ABOUT 550 KM... 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 26 KM/H. OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 37.3 N 23.9 E... 40 KT 11/0900H... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT 11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 12/1500H... 37.2 N 24.4 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED 12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
