Difference between revisions of "TD11 (2145)"
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{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Nitschke | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Nitschke | ||
|category=storm|type=Tropical storm | |category=storm|type=Tropical storm | ||
| − | |local time= | + | |local time=0930 |
|date=June 11 | |date=June 11 | ||
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
| − | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 37. | + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 37.8°N 24.1°E]<br/>About 485 km (300 miles) west-southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom |
|winds=75 km/h (45 mph) | |winds=75 km/h (45 mph) | ||
|windtype=1-minute sustained | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
| − | |pressure= | + | |pressure=999 hPa |
| − | |movement= | + | |movement=East-northeast at 31 km/h (19 mph) |
|advisory=latest}} | |advisory=latest}} | ||
---- | ---- | ||
4511 TCWC HPCOR | 4511 TCWC HPCOR | ||
| − | TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY | + | TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 003 |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND | MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND | ||
| − | + | 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 | |
| − | + | NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN PROGNOSTIC REASONING. A FEW UPPER-LEVEL LOWS | |
| − | + | CAUSING COMPUTER MODELS TO BRING NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. NITSCHKE'S | |
| − | + | SATELLITE SIGNATURE HAS DETERIORATED... AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS | |
| + | SET AT 40 KT - WHICH MAY BE TOO HIGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL | ||
| + | CONTINUE TO CALL FOR EXTRATROPICALITY WITHIN 12-18 HOURS. | ||
| − | + | AT 9 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.8N 24.1E... | |
| − | + | OR ABOUT 485 KM... 300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM | |
| − | + | SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. | |
| − | + | MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING | |
| − | + | EAST-NORTHEAST AT 31 KM/H. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | AT | + | |
| − | OR ABOUT | + | |
| − | WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. | + | |
| − | PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT | + | |
OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... | OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... | ||
1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H | 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H | ||
| − | INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/ | + | INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT |
| − | INITIAL | + | INITIAL... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT |
| − | + | 11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL | |
| − | 11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... | + | |
12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL | 12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL | ||
| − | 12/ | + | 12/0900H... 37.5 N 24.8 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED |
12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM | 12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM | ||
| − | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT | + | THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM HPT. |
FORECASTER HUNTER | FORECASTER HUNTER | ||
Revision as of 00:50, 8 September 2006
| Tropical Storm Nitschke | |
|---|---|
| Tropical storm | |
| As of: | 0930 local time June 11, 2145 |
| Location: | 37.8°N 24.1°E About 485 km (300 miles) west-southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom |
| Maximum winds: |
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 999 hPa |
| Movement: | East-northeast at 31 km/h (19 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4511 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 003 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND 7 AM PAX... 9 AM HPT... 9:30 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145 NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN PROGNOSTIC REASONING. A FEW UPPER-LEVEL LOWS CAUSING COMPUTER MODELS TO BRING NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. NITSCHKE'S SATELLITE SIGNATURE HAS DETERIORATED... AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KT - WHICH MAY BE TOO HIGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO CALL FOR EXTRATROPICALITY WITHIN 12-18 HOURS. AT 9 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.8N 24.1E... OR ABOUT 485 KM... 300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 31 KM/H. OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST... 1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0900H... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT 11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 12/0900H... 37.5 N 24.8 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED 12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 3 PM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
