Difference between revisions of "TD11 (2145)"

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{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Nitschke
 
{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Storm Nitschke
|category=storm|type=Tropical storm
+
|category=storm|type=Extratropical transition storm
|local time=0400
+
|local time=1530
 
|date=June 11
 
|date=June 11
 
|year=2145
 
|year=2145
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 37.3&deg;N 23.9&deg;E]<br/>About 550 km (345 miles) southwest of Victory Union, PopularFreedom
+
|location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 38.0&deg;N 24.3&deg;E]<br/>About 420 km (260 miles) west of Victory Union, PopularFreedom
 
|winds=75 km/h (45 mph)
 
|winds=75 km/h (45 mph)
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
|pressure=1002 hPa
+
|pressure=999 hPa
|movement=Northeast at 26 km/h (16 mph)
+
|movement=East-northeast at 31 km/h (19 mph)
|advisory=latest}}
+
|advisory=final}}
 
----
 
----
 
  4511 TCWC HPCOR
 
  4511 TCWC HPCOR
  TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) ADVISORY 002
+
  TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) FINAL ADVISORY 004
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
 
  MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
  1 AM PAX... 3 AM HPT... 4 AM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145
+
  1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145
 
   
 
   
  RECON FLIGHT REPORTED 37 KT SUSTAINED WINDS. RECENTLY-UPPED T-NUMBERS OF
+
  NITSCHKE IS NOW UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. AS SUCH... THIS
2.5 FROM BOTH HDCW AND UHWF... PLUS GENERAL APPEARANCE OF SYSTEM... INITIAL
+
WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY BY THE MSHPC ON THIS SYSTEM. AS THIS
  ADVISORY IS UPPED AND SET... PERHAPS A BIT STRONGLY... AT 40 KT.
+
  SYSTEM IS NEITHER A TORNADO NOR A FLOOD THREAT... THE HEARTLAND
 +
WEATHER SERVICE WILL NOT BE ISSUING ADVISORIES UNTIL/IF IT BECOMES
 +
ONE. THE ACE VALUE FROM THIS ADVISORY WILL COUNT.
 
   
 
   
  MOST COMPUTER MODELS STILL TAKE NITSCHKE INTO A LOOP. ALL SEVEN OF THEM
+
  AT 3 PM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE
  ALSO MAKE IT EXTRATROPICAL AND FOUR SUGGEST IT BECOMING ABSORBED IN THE
+
  38.0 NORTH LONGITUDE 24.3 EAST... ABOUT 420 KM... 260 MILES WEST
FUTURE... THE QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY
+
  OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH...
  TENTATIVE... BUT WILL ASSUME EXTRATROPICALITY AT THE EARLIEST SUGGESTED
+
  WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 HPA. NITSCHKE
  BY THE AFLE... 24 HOURS.
+
IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 31 KM/H.
 
   
 
   
  AT 3 AM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR 37.3N 23.9E...
+
  THE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
OR ABOUT 550 KM... 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
+
  TROPICALITY.
WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL
+
PRESSURE IS 1002 HPA. NITSCHKE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 26 KM/H.
+
+
OFFICIAL EXTENDED FORECAST...
+
1 KT IS 1.852 KM/H
+
INITIAL FORECAST TIME IS 11/0300H... ALL TIMES HPT
+
  INITIAL... 37.3 N 23.9 E... 40 KT
+
11/0900H... 37.8 N 24.1 E... 40 KT
+
11/1500H... 38.0 N 24.3 E... 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
+
12/0300H... 37.7 N 24.6 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
+
12/1500H... 37.2 N 24.4 E... 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL/BECOMING ABSORBED
+
12/2100H... ABSORBED BY LARGER SYSTEM
+
   
+
THE NEXT MSHPC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 AM HPT.
+
 
   
 
   
 
  FORECASTER HUNTER
 
  FORECASTER HUNTER

Latest revision as of 03:06, 9 September 2006

Latest storm information
Tropical Storm Nitschke
Extratropical transition storm
As of: 1530 local time June 11, 2145
Location: 38.0°N 24.3°E
About 420 km (260 miles) west of Victory Union, PopularFreedom
Maximum
winds:
75 km/h (45 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 999 hPa
Movement: East-northeast at 31 km/h (19 mph)
See final advisory below.
Past advisories and discussions available here

4511 TCWC HPCOR
TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE (4511) FINAL ADVISORY 004
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
MSHPC HQ OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND
1 PM PAX... 3 PM HPT... 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME JUN 11 2145

NITSCHKE IS NOW UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. AS SUCH... THIS
WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY BY THE MSHPC ON THIS SYSTEM. AS THIS
SYSTEM IS NEITHER A TORNADO NOR A FLOOD THREAT... THE HEARTLAND
WEATHER SERVICE WILL NOT BE ISSUING ADVISORIES UNTIL/IF IT BECOMES
ONE. THE ACE VALUE FROM THIS ADVISORY WILL COUNT.

AT 3 PM HPT... TROPICAL STORM NITSCHKE WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE
38.0 NORTH LONGITUDE 24.3 EAST... ABOUT 420 KM... 260 MILES WEST
OF VICTORY UNION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KM/H... 45 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 HPA. NITSCHKE
IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 31 KM/H.

THE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
TROPICALITY.

FORECASTER HUNTER