Difference between revisions of "TD03 (2146)"

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|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|windtype=1-minute sustained
 
|pressure=994 hPa
 
|pressure=994 hPa
−
|movement=North-northeast at 19 kt}}
+
|movement=North-northeast at 19 kt}}  
 
----
 
----
−
  TCUP3 WHCO 070045 CCA
+
  TCAD3 WHCO 070340
−
  TROPICAL STORM EHECATL (4603) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...CORRECTED
+
  TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 6
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
 
  [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
 
  [[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
−
  12:45 AM HPT MAY 7 2146... 1:15 AM LOCAL TIME
+
  3 AM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME
 
   
 
   
−
  ...CORRECTED TO REMOVE EXTRANEOUS LINE IN HEADER...
+
  ...EHECATL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FAST LOSING TROPICALITY...THIS WILL
 +
BE THE FINAL ADVISORY...
 
   
 
   
−
  THE GOVERNMENT OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL REMAINING
+
  STORM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER LAND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT
−
  COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. NO COASTAL WARNINGS OR WATCHES REMAIN IN
+
  BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 FROM AFLE AND UHWF...AND
−
  EFFECT AS OF 12:45 AM HPT.
+
  T2.0 FROM HDCW...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. EHECATL IS EXPECTED
 +
TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...045/15.
 
   
 
   
−
  AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TERRITORY. FOR
+
  AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE
−
  MORE INFORMATION... INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WARNINGS AND WATCHES... REFER
+
  INLAND OVER GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH LONGITUDE
−
  TO INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL SERVICE WEATHER OFFICE.
+
  28.1 EAST.
 
   
 
   
−
  AT 12 MIDNIGHT HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL WAS ESTIMATED TO
+
  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
−
BE NEAR 47.2 N 27.8 E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED RAPIDLY TO 35 KT
+
  GALE-FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
−
...NEAR 65 KM/H OR 40 MPH. EHECATL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER INTO A DEPRESSION
+
−
AND UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION LATER THIS MORNING. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
+
−
  IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 HPA.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  FORECASTER HUNTER
+
  THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. THIS
 +
VALUE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.
 
   
 
   
−
----
+
  EHECATL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 26 KM/H...16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
−
  TCAD3 WHCO 062150
+
  WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM
−
TROPICAL STORM EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 5
+
  STARTS TO GAIN IN FORWARD SPEED.
−
[[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]]
+
−
[[Orean|OREAN]], [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
+
−
9 PM HPT MAY 6 2146... 7 PM PAX TIME... 9:30 PM LOCAL TIME
+
−
+
−
...EHECATL MAKES LANDFALL AND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
+
−
+
−
REPORTS FROM THE GROUND AT THE BORLEAI DEFENCE POST SUGGEST THAT TROPICAL
+
−
STORM EHECATL MADE LANDFALL AROUND 9:25 PM LOCAL TIME NEAR BORLEAI POINT
+
−
WEST... AS A 45-KT TROPICAL STORM.
+
−
+
−
AT 9 PM HPT... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST
+
−
OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA FROM DESINCO EASTWARDS TO BORLEAI POINT WEST
+
−
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE WATCH FURTHER EAST TO BORLEAI POINT EAST
+
−
HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.
+
−
+
−
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE GULP MOUNTAIN
+
−
PENINSULA... FROM BORLEAI POINT WEST EASTWARDS TO BORLEAI POINT EAST. THIS
+
−
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED SOON.
+
−
+
−
REFER TO INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL SERVICE WEATHER OFFICE FOR POSSIBLE INLAND
+
−
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
+
−
+
−
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 45 KT BASED ON GROUND REPORTS AT LANDFALL.
+
−
INITIAL MOTION IS .
+
−
+
−
AT 9 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE
+
−
INLAND OVER THE BORLEAI DEFENCE POST NEAR LATITUDE 46.9 NORTH LONGITUDE
+
−
27.6 EAST. THIS POSITION IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM FORECAST STORM MOVEMENT AND
+
−
GROUND REPORTS.
+
−
+
−
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 KM/H... 50 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
+
−
  HURRICANE-FORCE GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
+
−
+
−
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 305 KM... 190 MI... FROM THE
+
−
CENTRE OF THE STORM. THESE GALE FORCE WIND RADII WILL SHRINK RAPIDLY OVER
+
−
THE NEXT SIX HOURS AS THE STORM WEAKENS.
+
−
+
−
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 994 HPA. A
+
−
BAROMETER AT BORLEAI POINT WEST OBSERVED A 993 HPA VALUE AS THE STORM MADE
+
−
LANDFALL.
+
−
+
−
BETWEEN 150 AND 250 MM... 6 AND 10 INCHES... OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE OVER
+
−
THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS... THIS MIGHT FALL IN THE FORM
+
−
OF SNOW OR ICE. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 400 MM... 16 INCHES... IS POSSIBLE.
+
−
+
−
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS... THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND
+
−
MUDSLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 10 M... 3 FT... WILL ALSO POSE A FLOOD
+
−
THREAT.
+
−
+
−
NOW THAT EHECATL IS INLAND AND OVER MOUNTAINS... THIS COUPLED WITH ITS FAR
+
−
NORTH LATITUDE WILL QUICKLY TURN THE STORM EXTRATROPICAL. THE STORM IS EXPECTED
+
−
  TO BE OVER LAND FOR NO MORE THAN 12 HOURS... BY WHICH TIME IT WILL ALREADY HAVE
+
−
LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  AS FOR THE REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM... MOST MODELS TAKE IT OUT INTO THE NOLAN
+
  MOST MODELS HAVE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM MOVING OUT INTO THE NOLAN SOUND...
−
SOUND AND NORTHWARD... BECOMING A POWERFUL LOW... BEFORE DISSIPATING IT IN ABOUT
+
POSSIBLY BECOMING A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THREE DAYS.
−
FIVE DAYS.
+
 
   
 
   
−
  OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT
+
  OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
−
  INITIAL TIME... 06/2100H
+
  INITIAL TIME...07/0300H
−
   INITIAL... 46.9 N 27.6 E... 45 KT <!-- 07/0300H... 47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND -->
+
   INITIAL...47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
−
07/0900H... 48.0 N 28.5 E... 25 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
+
  07/1500H...EXTRATROPICAL
−
  07/2100H...OVER WATER/EXTRATROPICAL
+
 
   
 
   
−
  REPEATING THE 9 PM POSITION... INLAND OVER BORLEAI DEFENCE POST NEAR 46.9 NORTH
+
  REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...INLAND NEAR 47.5 NORTH 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM
−
27.6 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HPA.
+
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. SYSTEM IS
−
SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEAST 19 KT.
+
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KT.
 
   
 
   
−
  THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY 0345 HPT MAY 7.
+
  THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL.
 
   
 
   
−
  FORECASTER HUNTER
+
  FORECASTER KRUGER
 
----
 
----
−
  TCTW03 FOLN 062150
+
  TCTW03 FOLN 070340
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE]] FOLENISA
 
  [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE]] FOLENISA
−
  ISSUED 2150 HPT MAY 6 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
+
  ISSUED 0340 HPT MAY 7 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
−
  ACTIVE TIME:        2100H MAY 6 2146
+
  ACTIVE TIME:        0300HPT MAY 7 2146
 
  WARNING CENTRE:    FOLENISA
 
  WARNING CENTRE:    FOLENISA
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:  EHECATL
 
  TROPICAL CYCLONE:  EHECATL
−
  WARNING NR:        5
+
  WARNING NR:        6
−
  POSITION:          46.9N 27.6E...INLAND
+
  POSITION:          47.5N 28.1E...INLAND
−
  ACCURACY:          25NM
+
  ACCURACY:          45NM
−
  MOVEMENT:          NE 19KT
+
  MOVEMENT:          NE 15KT
−
  CENT PRES:          994HPA
+
  CENT PRES:          1001HPA
−
  MAX WIND:          45KT
+
  MAX WIND:          30KT
 
  MAX GUST:          VARIABLE
 
  MAX GUST:          VARIABLE
−
  FCST 12HR PSTN:    48.0N 28.5E...INLAND
+
  FCST 12HR PSTN:    48.5N 29.4E...EXTRATROPICAL
−
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    25KT G VARIABLE
+
  FCST 12HR WINDS:    35KT EXTRATROPICAL
−
  NEXT WARNING AT:    0300H MAY 7 2146
+
  NEXT WARNING AT:    NO FURTHER WARNINGS=
 
----
 
----
 
  WXTC01 KBDP 070040
 
  WXTC01 KBDP 070040

Revision as of 01:16, 31 August 2007

50px-Nuvola_apps_important.svg.png ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones.
Latest storm information
Tropical Storm Ehecatl (Epsilon)
Tropical storm
As of: 2100 HPT May 6, 2146
Location: 46.9°N 27.6°E
Inland over the Borleai Defence Post
Maximum
winds: 		85 km/h (50 mph) (1-minute sustained)
Pressure: 994 hPa
Movement: North-northeast at 19 kt
Past advisories and discussions available here 
TCAD3 WHCO 070340
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 6
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE
OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS
3 AM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 AM PAX TIME... 3:30 AM LOCAL TIME

...EHECATL WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...FAST LOSING TROPICALITY...THIS WILL
BE THE FINAL ADVISORY...

STORM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER LAND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT
BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 FROM AFLE AND UHWF...AND
T2.0 FROM HDCW...ALTHOUGH THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. EHECATL IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. INITIAL MOTION...045/15.

AT 3 AM HPT...THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ESTIMATED TO BE
INLAND OVER GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 47.5 NORTH LONGITUDE
28.1 EAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 55 KM/H...30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GALE-FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 HPA. THIS
VALUE WILL FLUCTUATE AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.

EHECATL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 26 KM/H...16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM
STARTS TO GAIN IN FORWARD SPEED.

MOST MODELS HAVE THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM MOVING OUT INTO THE NOLAN SOUND...
POSSIBLY BECOMING A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THREE DAYS.

OFFICIAL FORECAST...ALL TIMES HPT
INITIAL TIME...07/0300H
 INITIAL...47.5 N 28.1 E... 30 KT...INLAND/BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
07/1500H...EXTRATROPICAL

REPEATING THE 3 AM POSITION...INLAND NEAR 47.5 NORTH 28.1 EAST. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 HPA. SYSTEM IS
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 KT.

THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EHECATL.

FORECASTER KRUGER

TCTW03 FOLN 070340
TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING
LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE FOLENISA
ISSUED 0340 HPT MAY 7 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ
ACTIVE TIME:        0300HPT MAY 7 2146
WARNING CENTRE:     FOLENISA
TROPICAL CYCLONE:   EHECATL
WARNING NR:         6
POSITION:           47.5N 28.1E...INLAND
ACCURACY:           45NM
MOVEMENT:           NE 15KT
CENT PRES:          1001HPA
MAX WIND:           30KT
MAX GUST:           VARIABLE
FCST 12HR PSTN:     48.5N 29.4E...EXTRATROPICAL
FCST 12HR WINDS:    35KT EXTRATROPICAL
NEXT WARNING AT:    NO FURTHER WARNINGS=

WXTC01 KBDP 070040
TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER THREE
BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL
ISSUED BY MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA
ISSUED AT 1:10 AM LOCAL TIME...0040 HPT MAY 7 2146
IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA

CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES...
INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7
AVALANCHE ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7
FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7
SLEET WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED...

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... AND A SLEET WARNING... REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA UNTIL 7 AM LATER TODAY.

AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY... AND FLASH FLOOD WARNING... REMAIN IN EFFECT
FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA UNTIL 1 PM LATER TODAY.

ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. GUSTS FROM TROPICAL STORM
EHECATL TO ABOVE 65 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... ESPECIALLY
AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AS THE STORM WEAKENS... GUSTS WILL DECREASE IN
STRENGTH OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING... AT WHICH POINT THE HURRICANE
WIND WARNING WILL BE DISCONTINUED AND REPLACED WITH A MORE APPROPRIATE
WARNING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. ALMOST 100 MM OF PRECIPITAION... MOSTLY
RAIN AND SLEET ACROSS THE BORLEAI DEFENCE POST AND AT LOWER ELEVATIONS BUT
ALSO SOME SNOW... HAS ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE PENINSULA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS.
UP TO 255 MM OF PRECIPITATION... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO DOUBLE
THAT... WILL FALL IN TOTAL ACROSS THE EASTERN PENINSULA. MELTING SNOW AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. IF IN A WARNING
AREA... BE READY TO EVACUATE AT SHORT NOTICE IF NECESSARY.

AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. AN AVALANCHE WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE LAST
24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE BEEN NONE SINCE. THIS ADVISORY MAY BE DOWNGRADED
TO A WATCH LATER TODAY. IF WITHIN AVALANCHE ADVISORY AREA... AVOID ALL MOUNTAINS...
NO MATTER HOW HIGH... AT ALL COSTS. DO NOT RISK GETTING CAUGHT IN AN AVALANCHE.

A SLEET WARNING IS IN EFFECT... RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS MIXED WITH ICE
FROM HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAS BEEN REPORTED. THIS WILL MAKE ROADS VERY SLIPPERY
AND VISIBILITY VERY POOR. AVOID DRIVING.

EHECATL MADE LANDFALL AROUND 2125 LOCAL TIME. IT HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY SINCE...
WITH THE MSHPC CURRENTLY PREPARING A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE THAT THE STORM NOW
HAS WEAKENED TO 35 KNOTS... 999 HECTOPASCALS. HIGH GUSTS... OCCASIONALLY TO OR OVER
HURRICANE FORCE... ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE STORM IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 7:30 AM... AND MAY BE SUPERSEDED IN
THE CASE OF ANY ALTERATIONS TO WARNINGS.

FORECASTER RHYSNOLAN/SWC MTN
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