Difference between revisions of "TD16 (2145)"
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{{Storm active2|name=Tropical Depression Sixteen | {{Storm active2|name=Tropical Depression Sixteen | ||
|category=depression|type=Tropical depression | |category=depression|type=Tropical depression | ||
| − | |local time= | + | |local time=1900 |
|date=July 22 | |date=July 22 | ||
|year=2145 | |year=2145 | ||
| − | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 12. | + | |location=[http://img224.imageshack.us/my.php?image=forecastmu6.png 12.3°N 0.5°E]<br/>About 1000 km (625 miles) west-southwest of [[Dannstadt]], [[Ineptia]] |
|winds=50 km/h (30 mph) | |winds=50 km/h (30 mph) | ||
|windtype=1-minute sustained | |windtype=1-minute sustained | ||
| − | |pressure= | + | |pressure=1011 hPa |
| − | |movement= | + | |movement=South-southwest at 11 km/h (7 mph) |
| − | |advisory= | + | |advisory=latest}} |
<div style="clear: both"></div> | <div style="clear: both"></div> | ||
---- | ---- | ||
4516 TCWC HPCOR | 4516 TCWC HPCOR | ||
| − | TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN (4516) | + | TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN (4516) ADVISORY 002 |
[[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | [[Liverpool England|LIVERPOOL ENGLAND]] [[Liverpool England Meteorological Service|MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE]] | ||
MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN | MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN | ||
| − | + | 7 PM PAX... LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT JUL 22 2145 | |
| − | + | THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN HAS | |
| − | + | DETERIORATED... AND RECON AIRCRAFT REPORTED BACK A FLIGHT-LEVEL | |
| − | + | WIND OF 30 KT AND MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1011 HPA. THEREFORE... | |
| − | + | INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS UNCHANGED... 25 KT... AND FOR CONTINUITY'S | |
| − | + | SAKE I WILL KEEP THE DEPRESSION ALIVE FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE | |
| + | ADVISORY SHOULD IT FAIL TO GENERATE NEW CONVECTION. | ||
| − | THE SYSTEM | + | THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR... ALTHOUGH |
| − | IS | + | SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOUT 30 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. |
| − | + | GIVEN THE WEAKENING STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT | |
| − | THE SYSTEM | + | THE STORM WILL DISSIPATE SOONER THAN THOUGHT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST |
| + | REFLECTS THIS AND DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM WITHOUT STRENGTHENING IT | ||
| + | MUCH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. | ||
| − | AT | + | AT 9 PM HPT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE |
| − | 12. | + | 12.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 0.5 EAST... OR ABOUT 1000 KM... 625 MILES WEST- |
| − | OF DANNSTADT, INEPTIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RELATED TO | + | SOUTHWEST OF DANNSTADT, INEPTIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RELATED TO |
| − | ARE NEAR 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS | + | THIS SYSTEM ARE NEAR 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS |
| − | + | 1011 HPA OR MBAR... AND THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST | |
| + | AT 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. | ||
| − | + | SSTS REMAIN CONDUCIVE TO SUSTAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 29 DEG C... | |
| − | + | BUT THE PROXIMITY OF THE ITCZ TO THIS SYSTEM COULD MEAN THAT THIS | |
| − | + | SYSTEM HAS LITTLE TIME... IF ANY... TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE DISSIPATION. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
OFFICIAL FORECAST | OFFICIAL FORECAST | ||
| − | INITIAL TIME IS 22/ | + | INITIAL TIME IS 22/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT. |
| − | INITIAL | + | INITIAL... 12.3 N 0.5 E... 25 KT |
| − | + | 23/0300H... 12.0 N 0.4 E... 25 KT | |
| − | 23/0300H... 12.0 N 0.4 E... | + | 23/0900H... 11.5 N 0.4 E... 25 KT <!-- 23/1500H... 10.9 N 0.7 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING --> |
| − | + | 23/2100H...DISSIPATED | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | REPEATING THE | + | REPEATING THE 9 PM HPT POSITION... 12.3 NORTH 0.5 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED |
| − | WINDS NEAR 50 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE | + | WINDS NEAR 50 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING |
| − | + | TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT NEAR 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. | |
| − | THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT. | + | THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CYCLONESVILLE |
| + | BUREAU AT 9 PM HPT... UNDER THE SAME REGIONAL HEADER 4516 TCWC HPCOR. | ||
FORECASTER HUNTER | FORECASTER HUNTER | ||
Revision as of 04:03, 27 October 2006
| Tropical Depression Sixteen | |
|---|---|
| Tropical depression | |
| As of: | 1900 local time July 22, 2145 |
| Location: | 12.3°N 0.5°E About 1000 km (625 miles) west-southwest of Dannstadt, Ineptia |
| Maximum winds: |
50 km/h (30 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1011 hPa |
| Movement: | South-southwest at 11 km/h (7 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4516 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN (4516) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 7 PM PAX... LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT JUL 22 2145 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN HAS DETERIORATED... AND RECON AIRCRAFT REPORTED BACK A FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 30 KT AND MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1011 HPA. THEREFORE... INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS UNCHANGED... 25 KT... AND FOR CONTINUITY'S SAKE I WILL KEEP THE DEPRESSION ALIVE FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE ADVISORY SHOULD IT FAIL TO GENERATE NEW CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR... ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOUT 30 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. GIVEN THE WEAKENING STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE STORM WILL DISSIPATE SOONER THAN THOUGHT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS AND DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM WITHOUT STRENGTHENING IT MUCH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AT 9 PM HPT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 0.5 EAST... OR ABOUT 1000 KM... 625 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DANNSTADT, INEPTIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM ARE NEAR 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 HPA OR MBAR... AND THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. SSTS REMAIN CONDUCIVE TO SUSTAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 29 DEG C... BUT THE PROXIMITY OF THE ITCZ TO THIS SYSTEM COULD MEAN THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS LITTLE TIME... IF ANY... TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE DISSIPATION. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 22/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT. INITIAL... 12.3 N 0.5 E... 25 KT 23/0300H... 12.0 N 0.4 E... 25 KT 23/0900H... 11.5 N 0.4 E... 25 KT 23/2100H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 9 PM HPT POSITION... 12.3 NORTH 0.5 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT NEAR 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CYCLONESVILLE BUREAU AT 9 PM HPT... UNDER THE SAME REGIONAL HEADER 4516 TCWC HPCOR. FORECASTER HUNTER
