TD16 (2145)
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| Tropical Depression Sixteen | |
|---|---|
| Tropical depression | |
| As of: | 1900 local time July 22, 2145 |
| Location: | 12.3°N 0.5°E About 1000 km (625 miles) west-southwest of Dannstadt, Ineptia |
| Maximum winds: |
50 km/h (30 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1011 hPa |
| Movement: | South-southwest at 11 km/h (7 mph) |
| See latest advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4516 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN (4516) ADVISORY 002 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 7 PM PAX... LOCAL TIME... 9 PM HPT JUL 22 2145 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN HAS DETERIORATED... AND RECON AIRCRAFT REPORTED BACK A FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 30 KT AND MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1011 HPA. THEREFORE... INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS UNCHANGED... 25 KT... AND FOR CONTINUITY'S SAKE I WILL KEEP THE DEPRESSION ALIVE FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE ADVISORY SHOULD IT FAIL TO GENERATE NEW CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR... ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOUT 30 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. GIVEN THE WEAKENING STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE STORM WILL DISSIPATE SOONER THAN THOUGHT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS AND DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM WITHOUT STRENGTHENING IT MUCH IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AT 9 PM HPT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 0.5 EAST... OR ABOUT 1000 KM... 625 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DANNSTADT, INEPTIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM ARE NEAR 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 HPA OR MBAR... AND THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. SSTS REMAIN CONDUCIVE TO SUSTAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR 29 DEG C... BUT THE PROXIMITY OF THE ITCZ TO THIS SYSTEM COULD MEAN THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS LITTLE TIME... IF ANY... TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE DISSIPATION. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 22/2100H... ALL TIMES HPT. INITIAL... 12.3 N 0.5 E... 25 KT 23/0300H... 12.0 N 0.4 E... 25 KT 23/0900H... 11.5 N 0.4 E... 25 KT 23/2100H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 9 PM HPT POSITION... 12.3 NORTH 0.5 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 HPA. SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT NEAR 11 KM/H... 7 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CYCLONESVILLE BUREAU AT 9 PM HPT... UNDER THE SAME REGIONAL HEADER 4516 TCWC HPCOR. FORECASTER HUNTER
