Difference between revisions of "TD03 (2146)"
From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
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NXT WRN: 2100 21460506= | NXT WRN: 2100 21460506= | ||
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| − | WXTC01 KBDP | + | WXTC01 KBDP 061850 |
| − | TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER | + | TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER TWO |
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BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL | BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL | ||
| − | + | CC MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA | |
| − | ISSUED AT | + | ISSUED AT 7:20 PM LOCAL TIME... 1850 HPT MAY 6 2146 |
IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA | IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA | ||
| − | + | CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES... | |
| − | + | INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7 | |
| − | + | AVALANCHE ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7 | |
| − | + | FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7 | |
| + | SLEET WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7 | ||
| − | + | INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... FLASH FLOOD WARNING... AND SLEET WARNING | |
| − | + | ALL EXTENDED TO 7:30 AM LOCAL TIME TOMORROW... AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY | |
| − | + | REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1:30 PM TOMORROW... | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BORLEAI POINT EAST NORTH TO VALLEY EAST | |
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HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. | HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. | ||
| − | + | AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. GUSTS FROM TROPICAL STORM | |
| − | + | EHECATL TO WELL ABOVE 65 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... | |
| − | + | ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. | |
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| − | + | A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. UP TO 255 MM... OF PRECIPITATION... | |
| − | + | WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO DOUBLE THAT... WILL FALL ACROSS | |
| − | + | THE EASTERN PENINSULA. MELTING SNOW AT LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE | |
| − | AT LOWER ELEVATIONS | + | TO POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. IF IN A WARNING AREA... BE READY |
| − | + | TO EVACUATE AT SHORT NOTICE IF NECESSARY. | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| − | + | AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. AN AVALANCHE OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY... | |
| − | + | WITH NO CASUALTIES AND LIGHT DAMAGE... BUT FURTHER AVALANCHES COULD OCCUR | |
| − | + | AT ANY TIME. IF WITHIN AVALANCHE ADVISORY AREA... AVOID ALL MOUNTAINS... | |
| − | + | NO MATTER HOW HIGH... AT ALL COSTS. DO NOT RISK GETTING CAUGHT IN AN AVALANCHE. | |
| − | + | A SLEET WARNING IS IN EFFECT... RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS MIXED WITH ICE | |
| − | + | FROM HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAS BEEN REPORTED. THIS WILL MAKE ROADS VERY SLIPPERY | |
| − | + | AND VISIBILITY VERY POOR. AVOID DRIVING. | |
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| − | + | TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ABOUT THREE HOURS AWAY FROM LANDFALL OVER THE | |
| − | TROPICAL STORM EHECATL | + | BDP. BASE TC ALERT IS RED. EHECATL HAS WEAKENED... BUT STILL PACKS QUITE |
| − | + | THE PUNCH... WITH WIND GUSTS TO UP TO 200 KM/H POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. | |
| − | + | AN AVALANCHE OCCURRED EARLIER... WITH NO DEATHS OR INJURIES... AND MINOR | |
| − | + | DAMAGE... IN THE MIDDLE GULPS WELL NORTHWEST OF STORM CENTRE. THIS INDICATES | |
| − | + | THE REACH OF THIS LARGE SYSTEM... ALTHOUGH RADIUS OF GALE-FORCE WINDS HAS | |
| − | + | DECREASED SLIGHTLY. THE STORM WILL TAKE ABOUT NINE HOURS TO CROSS THE SOUTHERN | |
| + | PENINSULA... AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. | ||
| − | THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY | + | THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 1:30 AM... AND MAY BE SUPERSEDED IN |
THE CASE OF ANY ALTERATIONS TO WARNINGS. | THE CASE OF ANY ALTERATIONS TO WARNINGS. | ||
SWC MTN | SWC MTN | ||
Revision as of 06:54, 27 August 2007
|
ATTENTION: The contents of this page are not about a real tropical cyclone. This page is for the game NationStates. If you came here from a Google search, please note that the events on this page are fictional, and might not be scientifically sound in real life. Please refer to the respective real-life authorities for information on real, possibly-ongoing tropical cyclones. |
| Severe Tropical Storm Ehecatl (Epsilon) | |
|---|---|
| Severe tropical storm | |
| As of: | 0900 HPT May 6, 2146 |
| Location: | 45.8°N 26.7°E About 385 km (240 mi) southwest of Borleai Defence, Gulp Mountain Peninsula |
| Maximum winds: |
95 km/h (60 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 990 hPa |
| Movement: | North-northeast at 19 kt |
| Past advisories and discussions available here | |
TCIA3 WHCO 061835 TROPICAL STORM EHECATL (4603) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY 4A LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS 6 PM HPT MAY 6 2146... 4 PM PAX TIME... 6:30 PM LOCAL TIME ...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING SYSTEM FINDS WEAKER STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST FROM DESINCO EAST TO BORLEAI POINT EAST. AT 6 PM HPT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. REFER TO INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL SERVICE WEATHER OFFICE FOR POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS. AT 6 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM EHECATL WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.6 NORTH LONGITUDE 27.4 EAST... ABOUT 130 KM OR 80 MILES SOUTH OF BORLEAI POINT WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WERE NEAR 85 KM/H... 50 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GULP MOUNTAINS. EHECATL IS CURRENTLY MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST... WITH AN EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION EXPECTED IN AROUND 6 TO 12 HOURS. ON THIS CURRENT NORTH-NORTHEAST MOVEMENT... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 6 HOURS... OR AS SOON AS BY THE NEXT ADVISORY. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 KM... 215 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM. AT AROUND 1805 HPT... AN ANEMOMETER ALONG THE COAST AT BORLEAI POINT WEST RECORDED A ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEED OF 79 KM/H... 49 MPH... AND A GUST TO 109 KM/H... 68 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 HPA. BETWEEN 150 AND 250 MM... 6 AND 10 INCHES... OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS... THIS MIGHT FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW OR ICE. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 400 MM... 16 INCHES... IS POSSIBLE. BORLEAI DEFENCE POST RAINFALL REPORTS INDICATE THAT UP TO 75 MM HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST NINE HOURS... A 24-HOUR AVERAGE OF UP TO 200 MM... 8 INCHES. AT LOWER ELEVATIONS... THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... AND AVALANCHES AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ONE MINOR AVALANCHE WAS REPORTED IN THE GULPS EARLIER TODAY... TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE STORM. REPEAT 6 PM HPT POSITION... 46.6 N 27.4 E... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM IS 992 HPA... AND EHECATL IS MOVING GENERALLY NORTHEAST. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... LANDFALL WITHIN SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY 9:40 PM HPT. A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE... UNDER HEADER TCUP3 WHCO... WILL BE ISSUED UPON LANDFALL. FORECASTER HUNTER
TCAD3 HPCOR 061540 CCA SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL (4603) ADVISORY 4...CORRECTED LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERVICE HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE OREAN, LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MSHPC HEADQUARTERS 3 PM HPT MAY 6 2146... 1 PM PAX TIME... 3:30 PM LOCAL TIME ...CORRECTED INITIAL 24 HOUR MOTION VECTOR TO 19 KT FROM 35 KT... ...SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL REMAINS ON COURSE FOR LANDFALL SOON... THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT LEFT THE STORM ABOUT TWO HOURS AGO... WITH ANOTHER FLIGHT DUE IN IN ABOUT AN HOUR. THE HIGHEST WINDSPEEDS FOUND DURING THAT FLIGHT WERE UP TO 65 KNOTS AT FLIGHT LEVEL... WHILE A MANUAL DROPSONDE READING RECORDED 49 KT WINDS AT AROUND 1245 HPT WHEN THE PLANE WAS ABOUT TO LEAVE THE STORM. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY OR MICROWAVE IMAGERY SINCE ... AND SCATTEROMETER PASSES SHOW CLEAR 50-KNOT WIND VECTORS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS RETAINED AT 50 KT. INITIAL 24-HOUR MOTION NOW APPEARS TO BE NORTHEASTWARDS... SO 045/19. SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT COULD BE WELL OFF TO THE NORTH OR EAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA COAST FROM DESINCO EASTWARDS TO BORLEAI POINT EAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THIS STRETCH OF COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA COAST FROM MOUNTAIN VALLEY EAST SOUTHWARDS TO BORLEAI POINT EAST. REFER TO INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL SERVICE WEATHER OFFICE FOR POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS. AT 3 PM HPT... THE CENTRE OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EHECATL WAS ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 27.2 EAST... ABOUT 225 KM OR 140 MILES SOUTH OF BORLEAI POINT WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WERE NEAR 95 KM/H... 60 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GULP MOUNTAINS... POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 185 KM/H... 115 MPH. GENERAL 24-HOUR TRENDS SUGGEST EHECATL IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 35 KM/H... 22 MPH. ALONG THIS FORECAST TRACK... LANDFALL IS EXPECTED ON THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA WITHIN 9 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 390 KM... 245 MILES... FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM... MOSTLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF CENTRE. IN EACH QUADRANT... WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY. AT AROUND 1140 HPT... AN ANEMOMETER ALONG THE COAST AT BORLEAI POINT WEST RECORDED A ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND SPEED OF 68 KM/H... 42 MPH... AND A GUST TO 105 KM/H... 65 MPH. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE STORM FOUND BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 990 HPA. BETWEEN 150 AND 250 MM... 6 AND 10 INCHES... OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA. AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS... THIS MIGHT FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW OR ICE. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 400 MM... 16 INCHES... IS POSSIBLE. BORLEAI DEFENCE POST RAINFALL REPORTS INDICATE THAT UP TO 45 MM FELL IN THE LAST SIX HOURS... A 24-HOUR AVERAGE OF UP TO 180 MM... 7 INCHES. AT LOWER ELEVATIONS... THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... AND AVALANCHES AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AN AVALANCHE WAS CONFIRMED TO HAVE OCCURRED AROUND 1348 LOCAL TIME... 1318 HPT... EARLIER TODAY. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. OFFICIAL FORECAST... ALL TIMES HPT INITIAL TIME... 06/1500H INITIAL... 46.4 N 27.2 E... 50 KT 07/0300H... 47.5 N 27.7 E... 30 KT...INLAND 07/1500H... 48.6 N 29.4 E... 30 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 08/0300H...EXTRATROPICAL REPEATING THE 3 PM POSITION... 46.4 NORTH 27.2 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HPA... SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEAST 19 KT. THE NEXT FULL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY 2145 HPT MAY 6. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY 1900 HPT MAY 6. FORECASTER RINDLI
TCTW03 FOLN 061545 TROPICAL CYCLONE TEXT WARNING ISSUED 1545 HPT MAY 6 2146 BY MET SERVICE HQ ACTIVE TIME: 1500 21460506 TROP CYC CENTRE: FOLENISA/OREAN TROP CYC: EHECATL WARNING NR: 4 POSITION: 46.4N 27.2E ACCURACY: 25NM MOVEMENT: NE 19KT CENT PRES: 990HPA MAX WIND: 50KT MAX GUST: 60KT FCST 12HR: 47.5N 27.7E...INLAND FCST 12HR WINDS: 30KT GUSTS VARIABLE NXT WRN: 2100 21460506=
WXTC01 KBDP 061850 TROPICAL CYCLONE LOCAL BULLETIN NUMBER TWO BORLEAI DEFENCE POST WEATHER CENTRAL CC MET SERVICE HQ FOLENISA ISSUED AT 7:20 PM LOCAL TIME... 1850 HPT MAY 6 2146 IN EFFECT FOR GULP MOUNTAIN PENINSULA CURRENT WARNINGS AND WATCHES... INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7 AVALANCHE ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM HPT MAY 7 FLASH FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7 SLEET WARNING UNTIL 7 AM HPT MAY 7 INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING... FLASH FLOOD WARNING... AND SLEET WARNING ALL EXTENDED TO 7:30 AM LOCAL TIME TOMORROW... AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1:30 PM TOMORROW... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BORLEAI POINT EAST NORTH TO VALLEY EAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. GUSTS FROM TROPICAL STORM EHECATL TO WELL ABOVE 65 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PENINSULA... ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. UP TO 255 MM... OF PRECIPITATION... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO DOUBLE THAT... WILL FALL ACROSS THE EASTERN PENINSULA. MELTING SNOW AT LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. IF IN A WARNING AREA... BE READY TO EVACUATE AT SHORT NOTICE IF NECESSARY. AN AVALANCHE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. AN AVALANCHE OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY... WITH NO CASUALTIES AND LIGHT DAMAGE... BUT FURTHER AVALANCHES COULD OCCUR AT ANY TIME. IF WITHIN AVALANCHE ADVISORY AREA... AVOID ALL MOUNTAINS... NO MATTER HOW HIGH... AT ALL COSTS. DO NOT RISK GETTING CAUGHT IN AN AVALANCHE. A SLEET WARNING IS IN EFFECT... RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS MIXED WITH ICE FROM HIGHER ELEVATIONS HAS BEEN REPORTED. THIS WILL MAKE ROADS VERY SLIPPERY AND VISIBILITY VERY POOR. AVOID DRIVING. TROPICAL STORM EHECATL IS ABOUT THREE HOURS AWAY FROM LANDFALL OVER THE BDP. BASE TC ALERT IS RED. EHECATL HAS WEAKENED... BUT STILL PACKS QUITE THE PUNCH... WITH WIND GUSTS TO UP TO 200 KM/H POSSIBLE AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. AN AVALANCHE OCCURRED EARLIER... WITH NO DEATHS OR INJURIES... AND MINOR DAMAGE... IN THE MIDDLE GULPS WELL NORTHWEST OF STORM CENTRE. THIS INDICATES THE REACH OF THIS LARGE SYSTEM... ALTHOUGH RADIUS OF GALE-FORCE WINDS HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY. THE STORM WILL TAKE ABOUT NINE HOURS TO CROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA... AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 1:30 AM... AND MAY BE SUPERSEDED IN THE CASE OF ANY ALTERATIONS TO WARNINGS. SWC MTN
