TD16 (2145)
From NSwiki, the NationStates encyclopedia.
Revision as of 09:13, 25 October 2006 by Liverpool England (Talk | contribs)
| Tropical Depression Sixteen | |
|---|---|
| Tropical depression | |
| As of: | 1500 local time July 22, 2145 |
| Location: | 12.4°N 0.7°E About 950 km (595 miles) southwest of Dannstadt, Ineptia |
| Maximum winds: |
50 km/h (30 mph) (1-minute sustained) |
| Pressure: | 1010 hPa |
| Movement: | Slowly southwest |
| See first advisory below. Past advisories and discussions available here | |
4516 TCWC HPCOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN (4516) SPECIAL ADVISORY 001 LIVERPOOL ENGLAND MET SERV HURRICANE PREDICTION CENTRE MSHPC HEADQUARTERS OREAN 3 PM PAX... LOCAL TIME... 5 PM HPT JUL 22 2145 AIRCRAFT RECON DETERMINES THAT SYSTEM WEST OF INEPTIA NEAR THE PAX MERIDIAN... PREVIOUSLY 94 INVEST... IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DUE TO THE RELATIVELY WEAK DATA T-NUMBERS THIS SYSTEM IS RECEIVING FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES... AND A FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND REPORT OF JUST 31 KNOTS... THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN SET AT 25 KT. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ALMOST STATIONARY... MOVEMENT... IF ANY... IS SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST. IN A FEW DAYS IT IS EXPECTED TO START MOVING SOUTHWARD... AND THE ITCZ COULD ACTUALLY DISSIPATE OR ABSORB THE SYSTEM BACK IN. AT 5 PM HPT... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS CENTRED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH LONGITUDE 0.7 EAST... OR ABOUT 950 KM... 595 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DANNSTADT, INEPTIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RELATED TO THIS SYSTEM ARE NEAR 50 KM/H... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 HPA OR MBAR AND THE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS NO THREAT TO LAND. WITH 28 DEGREES C WATER... STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ALTHOUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE STILL NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO NEAR 20-25 KT IN ABOUT 36 HOURS... AND AS THE SYSTEM STARTS TO MOVE QUICKER SOUTHWARD IT WILL EITHER BE SHEARED APART OR ABSORBED BY THE ITCZ. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR A 35-KT TROPICAL STORM... BEFORE SHEAR RIPS IT APART. OFFICIAL FORECAST INITIAL TIME IS 22/1700H... ALL TIMES HPT. INITIAL... 12.4 N 0.7 E... 25 KT 22/2100H... 12.3 N 0.5 E... 25 KT 23/0300H... 12.0 N 0.4 E... 30 KT 23/1500H... 11.4 N 0.7 E... 35 KT 24/0300H... 10.7 N 1.2 E... 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24/1500H...DISSIPATED REPEATING THE 5 PM POSITION... 12.4 NORTH 0.7 EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KM/H. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 HPA. SYSTEM IS DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHWEST. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 9 PM HPT. FORECASTER HUNTER
